SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 21.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundee United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Dundee United.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | St Mirren |
55.59% ( 0.15) | 22.77% ( -0.17) | 21.63% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.92% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.33% ( 0.78) | 44.67% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.96% ( 0.74) | 67.03% ( -0.75) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.08% ( 0.32) | 15.92% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.83% ( 0.59) | 45.17% ( -0.6) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.32% ( 0.45) | 34.68% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.59% ( 0.48) | 71.4% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.71% 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 55.59% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.77% | 0-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 21.63% |
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