SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Dundee United | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 3 | -7 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | St Mirren | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 3 | -4 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | St Mirren |
31.58% ( -0.15) | 27.94% ( 0.11) | 40.47% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.27% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.41% ( -0.43) | 58.59% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.85% ( -0.34) | 79.15% ( 0.34) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.99% ( -0.33) | 34.01% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.3% ( -0.37) | 70.69% ( 0.36) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.63% ( -0.19) | 28.37% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.89% ( -0.23) | 64.11% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.34% Total : 31.58% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.94% | 0-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 40.47% |
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