SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Ayr United |
42.79% ( 0.04) | 25.96% ( -0.03) | 31.24% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.14% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.96% ( 0.09) | 51.04% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.1% ( 0.08) | 72.9% ( -0.09) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.31% ( 0.06) | 23.69% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.2% ( 0.09) | 57.8% ( -0.09) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.63% ( 0.03) | 30.36% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.44% ( 0.04) | 66.55% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 42.78% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.36% 0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 31.25% |
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