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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
NSK Olimpijs'kyj

Dynamo Kiev
0 - 1
Dnipro-1


Benito (67'), Dubinchak (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hutsuliak (13')
Rubchynskyi (21'), Sarapiy (31'), Hutsuliak (40'), Kaplienko (90+4')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Dynamo Kiev and Dnipro-1.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Polissya 3-2 Dynamo Kiev
Friday, October 6 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 2-0 Veres
Saturday, October 7 at 11.15am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 21.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Dnipro-1 win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Dynamo KievDrawDnipro-1
53.28% (0.788 0.79) 24.84% (-0.158 -0.16) 21.87% (-0.634 -0.63)
Both teams to score 48.83% (-0.323 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.08% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)52.92% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.47% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)74.53% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.17% (0.30600000000001 0.31)19.83% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.09% (0.494 0.49)51.91% (-0.497 -0.5)
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.9% (-0.639 -0.64)39.09% (0.636 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.19% (-0.604 -0.6)75.81% (0.60000000000001 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Dynamo Kiev 53.28%
    Dnipro-1 21.87%
    Draw 24.84%
Dynamo KievDrawDnipro-1
1-0 @ 12.54% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 10.14% (0.195 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.47% (0.16 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.085 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.045 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 53.28%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.75% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.28% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 21.87%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Polissya 3-2 Dynamo Kiev
Friday, October 6 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 4-2 Oleksandriya
Sunday, October 1 at 5pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Cherkasy 2-4 Dynamo Kiev
Saturday, September 23 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 2-0 Vorskla
Monday, September 18 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Besiktas 1-0 Dynamo Kiev
Thursday, August 31 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 2-3 Besiktas
Thursday, August 24 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 2-0 Veres
Saturday, October 7 at 11.15am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 1-0 Metalist Kharkiv
Monday, October 2 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Luhansk 0-1 Dnipro-1
Sunday, September 24 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 1-1 Kovalivka
Sunday, September 17 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 0-0 Cherkasy
Sunday, September 3 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 1-2 Spartak Trnava
Thursday, August 31 at 7pm in Europa Conference League


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