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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 17
Mar 12, 2023 at 11am UK
Dnipro Arena
DK

Dnipro-1
0 - 1
Dynamo Kiev


Babenko (21'), Blanco (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Buyalskyy (41')
Popov (32'), Benito (53'), Lonwijk (70'), Karavaev (86')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Dnipro-1 and Dynamo Kiev.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oleksandriya 2-2 Dnipro-1
Saturday, March 4 at 10am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-2 Inhulets
Saturday, March 4 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Dnipro-1DrawDynamo Kiev
53.36% (-1.137 -1.14) 23.79% (0.32 0.32) 22.84% (0.812 0.81)
Both teams to score 53.23% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.3% (-0.473 -0.47)47.69% (0.47 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.11% (-0.438 -0.44)69.88% (0.434 0.43)
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.19% (-0.59699999999999 -0.6)17.81% (0.593 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.46% (-1.032 -1.03)48.53% (1.028 1.03)
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.76% (0.498 0.5)35.23% (-0.501 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (0.515 0.52)71.99% (-0.52 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Dnipro-1 53.36%
    Dynamo Kiev 22.84%
    Draw 23.78%
Dnipro-1DrawDynamo Kiev
1-0 @ 10.82%
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.34% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-0 @ 5.37% (-0.211 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 53.36%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.122 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.78%
0-1 @ 6.54% (0.214 0.21)
1-2 @ 5.89% (0.159 0.16)
0-2 @ 3.41% (0.156 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.05% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 22.84%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Oleksandriya 2-2 Dnipro-1
Saturday, March 4 at 10am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 0-0 Larnaca
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Larnaca 1-0 Dnipro-1
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 2-1 Dnipro-1
Monday, November 28 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 2-1 Shakhtar
Saturday, November 19 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Vorskla 1-1 Dnipro-1
Sunday, November 13 at 12.20pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-2 Inhulets
Saturday, March 4 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 3-0 Metal Kharkiv
Wednesday, November 30 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-0 Metalist Kharkiv
Saturday, November 26 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Veres 0-1 Dynamo Kiev
Monday, November 21 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Inhulets 1-2 Dynamo Kiev
Thursday, November 17 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-0 Kovalivka
Sunday, November 13 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League


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