SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Besiktas in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Besiktas.
| Result | ||
| Besiktas | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
50.49% ( -0.03) | 24.02% ( 0.01) | 25.48% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.42% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.8% ( -0.03) | 46.2% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.51% ( -0.03) | 68.49% ( 0.03) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.66% ( -0.02) | 18.34% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.56% ( -0.04) | 49.44% ( 0.04) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.86% ( 0) | 32.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.38% | 68.62% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Besiktas | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.48% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 50.49% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 25.48% |
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