Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.