SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
41.27% ( -0.26) | 24.48% ( -0.08) | 34.25% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 59.23% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.42% ( 0.47) | 43.57% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.03% ( 0.46) | 65.97% ( -0.46) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% ( 0.08) | 21.2% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.92% ( 0.13) | 54.08% ( -0.13) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( 0.42) | 24.83% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.57% ( 0.59) | 59.42% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 41.27% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.25% |
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