Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 56.45%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 22.82% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.4%) and 1-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Spartak Moscow	Draw	Dynamo Moscow
56.45% ( 0.19)	20.72% ( -0.01)	22.82% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 63.9% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.38% (

-0.18)

33.62% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.57% (

-0.21)

55.43% (

0.21)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.05% (

-0.01)

11.94% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.67% (

-0.01)

37.32% (

0.01)

Dynamo Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.57% (

-0.25)

27.43% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.09% (

-0.32)

62.91% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Spartak Moscow 56.45%

Dynamo Moscow 22.82%

Draw 20.72%

Spartak Moscow	Draw	Dynamo Moscow
2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 56.45%	1-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.36% Total : 20.72%	1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.65% Total : 22.82%