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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 19
Mar 3, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Arena Khimki
LM

Dynamo Moscow
2 - 1
Lokomotiv

Bitello (12'), Makarov (58')
Laxalt (26'), Balbuena (83'), Fernandez (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zhemaletdinov (84')
Morozov (29'), Silyanov (64'), Samoshnikov (72'), Nyamsi (90+2')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Dynamo Moscow and Lokomotiv Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fakel 1-1 Dynamo Moscow
Sunday, December 10 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 2-0 Ural
Friday, December 8 at 4pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 51.61%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dynamo Moscow in this match.

Result
Dynamo MoscowDrawLokomotiv Moscow
51.61% (2.394 2.39) 23.46% (-0.361 -0.36) 24.94% (-2.03 -2.03)
Both teams to score 56.74% (-0.745 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.81% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)44.19% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.43% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)66.57% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Dynamo Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.84% (0.871 0.87)17.16% (-0.869 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.6% (1.515 1.52)47.4% (-1.512 -1.51)
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.49% (-1.636 -1.64)31.51% (1.637 1.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.1% (-1.933 -1.93)67.9% (1.935 1.94)
Score Analysis
    Dynamo Moscow 51.61%
    Lokomotiv Moscow 24.94%
    Draw 23.45%
Dynamo MoscowDrawLokomotiv Moscow
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.151 0.15)
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.303 0.3)
2-0 @ 8.4% (0.496 0.5)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.246 0.25)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.422 0.42)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.176 0.18)
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.242 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 51.61%
1-1 @ 11% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.379 -0.38)
0-1 @ 6.24% (-0.263 -0.26)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.325 -0.33)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.266 -0.27)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 24.94%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Fakel 1-1 Dynamo Moscow
Sunday, December 10 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 1-0 Rubin Kazan
Monday, December 4 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: CSKA 2-3 Dynamo Moscow
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 2-0 Orenburg
Sunday, November 12 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Sochi 3-3 Dynamo Moscow
Monday, November 6 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 2-1 Ural
Sunday, October 29 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 2-0 Ural
Friday, December 8 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 3-1 Zenit
Sunday, December 3 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 3-3 Lokomotiv
Saturday, November 25 at 10am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 2-1 Akhmat Grozny
Saturday, November 11 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 1-1 Spartak Moscow
Sunday, November 5 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Rostov 1-0 Lokomotiv
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League


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