SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 54.8%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 22.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
54.8% ( 0.01) | 22.28% ( -0) | 22.92% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.35% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.05% ( 0.01) | 40.95% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.66% ( 0.01) | 63.34% ( -0.01) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.11% ( 0.01) | 14.89% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.75% ( 0.01) | 43.25% ( -0.01) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.56% ( 0) | 31.44% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.18% | 67.82% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% 1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.49% 3-1 @ 6.24% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.39% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.61% 4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 54.8% | 1-1 @ 10.31% 2-2 @ 5.68% 0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.28% | 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.7% Total : 22.92% |
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