SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Fakel win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
31.46% ( -0.15) | 25.83% ( 0.01) | 42.7% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.65% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.58% ( -0.1) | 50.42% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.65% ( -0.09) | 72.35% ( 0.09) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.09% ( -0.16) | 29.91% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34% ( -0.19) | 66% ( 0.19) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% ( 0.02) | 23.46% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.53% ( 0.03) | 57.47% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fakel | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 8.47% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.27% Total : 31.46% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.9% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2% Total : 42.7% |
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