SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dynamo Moscow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
47.63% ( -0.17) | 25.95% ( 0.04) | 26.41% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 50.21% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.55% ( -0.04) | 53.44% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.03% ( -0.04) | 74.97% ( 0.04) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.56% ( -0.09) | 22.44% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.03% ( -0.14) | 55.97% ( 0.14) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.74% ( 0.09) | 35.26% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.98% ( 0.09) | 72.02% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
| 1-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 47.63% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0)Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 26.41% |
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