SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Albans City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastbourne Borough | Draw | St Albans City |
30.35% ( 1.65) | 23.54% ( 1.24) | 46.11% ( -2.89) |
| Both teams to score 60.92% ( -3.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.34% ( -4.96) | 40.65% ( 4.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.96% ( -5.27) | 63.04% ( 5.27) |
| Eastbourne Borough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.22% ( -1.44) | 25.78% ( 1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.27% ( -1.99) | 60.73% ( 1.98) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.09% ( -2.95) | 17.91% ( 2.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.28% ( -5.32) | 48.71% ( 5.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastbourne Borough | Draw | St Albans City |
| 2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.39) 1-0 @ 6.26% ( 1.11)2-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.61)3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.42% Total : 30.35% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.98) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.29)0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.97)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.33)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 1.02)0-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.57)0-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.56)1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.51)0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.29)2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.43)Other @ 3.76% Total : 46.11% |
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