SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 56.19%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 22.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 1-0 (7.48%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | St Albans City |
56.19% ( -0.26) | 21.09% ( 0.07) | 22.72% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 62.37% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.45% ( -0.08) | 35.55% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.4% ( -0.09) | 57.6% ( 0.09) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.36% ( -0.1) | 12.65% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.21% ( -0.21) | 38.79% ( 0.21) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.4% ( 0.12) | 28.6% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.6% ( 0.15) | 64.4% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | St Albans City |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.18% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 3.29% Total : 56.19% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.09% | 1-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.34% Total : 22.72% |
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