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National League | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Silverlake Stadium
HU

Eastleigh
1 - 1
Hartlepool

Maguire (78' pen.)
Reeves (61'), McCallum (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Grey (19')
Parkes (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnet 2-1 Eastleigh
Tuesday, March 19 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 Southend
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League

We said: Eastleigh 1-2 Hartlepool United

Eastleigh's one win in eight home games does not bode well against a team that has netted in every away match in 2024. While Phillips's away run remains a small sample size, backing them to nick a win is logical, having claimed seven points from a possible 12 under the former top-flight striker. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
EastleighDrawHartlepool United
26.89% (0.044 0.04) 22.86% (0.0089999999999968 0.01) 50.25% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 60.74% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.87% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)62.13% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Eastleigh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (0.028999999999996 0.03)27.67% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77% (0.037000000000006 0.04)63.22% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.97% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)16.02% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.63% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)45.36% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Eastleigh 26.89%
    Hartlepool United 50.25%
    Draw 22.86%
EastleighDrawHartlepool United
2-1 @ 6.7% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.7% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.66% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.57% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 26.89%
1-1 @ 10.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 9.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 7.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 2.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 50.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barnet 2-1 Eastleigh
Tuesday, March 19 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 1-4 Rochdale
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 3-3 Solihull
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 1-2 Oldham
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 2-0 Bromley
Saturday, February 24 at 12.30pm in National League
Last Game: Oxford City 2-5 Eastleigh
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 Southend
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-2 Barnet
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 2-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 3-2 Altrincham
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 3-1 Boreham Wood
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Woking 1-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, February 10 at 5.30pm in National League


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