Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Hartlepool United |
26.89% ( 0.04) | 22.86% ( 0.01) | 50.25% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 60.74% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.22% ( -0) | 39.77% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.87% ( -0) | 62.13% ( 0.01) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.32% ( 0.03) | 27.67% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.77% ( 0.04) | 63.22% ( -0.04) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.97% ( -0.02) | 16.02% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.63% ( -0.03) | 45.36% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Hartlepool United |
2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 26.89% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 9.55% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.12% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.67% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.08% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 50.25% |
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