SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Altrincham |
49.13% ( 1.4) | 24.28% ( -0.38) | 26.59% ( -1.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.6% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.56% ( 0.9) | 46.43% ( -0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.28% ( 0.84) | 68.71% ( -0.84) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.03% ( 0.93) | 18.96% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.5% ( 1.52) | 50.49% ( -1.52) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.61% ( -0.31) | 31.38% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.25% ( -0.37) | 67.75% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Altrincham |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.21% Total : 49.13% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 4% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.81% Total : 26.59% |
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