SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 20.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
20.94% ( 1.63) | 22.65% ( 0.98) | 56.41% ( -2.6) |
| Both teams to score 54.33% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.03% ( -2.07) | 44.97% ( 2.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.67% ( -2.02) | 67.33% ( 2.02) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.48% ( 0.48) | 35.52% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.72% ( 0.49) | 72.28% ( -0.48) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.25% ( -1.54) | 15.75% ( 1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.14% ( -2.94) | 44.86% ( 2.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.33)2-0 @ 3% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.13)Other @ 1.91% Total : 20.95% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.51) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.64% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 6.1% ( -0.38)0-3 @ 5.89% ( -0.45)2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 2.82% ( -0.34)0-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.37)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.16)1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.19)0-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.45% Total : 56.4% |
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