SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 2-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Sutton United |
21.16% ( 1.3) | 22.12% ( 0.72) | 56.73% ( -2.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.42% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.65% ( -1.48) | 42.35% ( 1.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.24% ( -1.49) | 64.75% ( 1.5) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.18% ( 0.43) | 33.82% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.51% ( 0.46) | 70.49% ( -0.46) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.26% ( -1.12) | 14.74% ( 1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.04% ( -2.19) | 42.96% ( 2.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Sutton United |
| 2-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.41)2-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.19% Total : 21.16% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.11% | 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 6.32% ( -0.28)0-3 @ 5.83% ( -0.33)2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 3.03% ( -0.26)0-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.28)2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.12)1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.15)0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.87% Total : 56.73% |
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