SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 44.2%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 26.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Real Oviedo |
44.2% ( 0.02) | 29.74% ( -0.08) | 26.06% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 40.03% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.72% ( 0.23) | 66.27% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.22% ( 0.16) | 84.77% ( -0.16) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.93% ( 0.13) | 30.07% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.8% ( 0.16) | 66.2% ( -0.17) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.24% ( 0.18) | 42.76% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.91% ( 0.15) | 79.08% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Real Oviedo |
| 1-0 @ 15.44% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.29% Total : 44.19% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 12.85% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.41% Total : 29.73% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.08% Total : 26.06% |
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