SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.35%) and 2-1 (7.01%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 0-1 (13.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Real Oviedo |
36.77% ( 0.27) | 30.89% ( -0.04) | 32.34% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 39.7% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.11% ( 0.11) | 67.89% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.14% ( 0.07) | 85.86% ( -0.07) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.59% ( 0.24) | 35.41% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.83% ( 0.25) | 72.17% ( -0.24) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.47% ( -0.11) | 38.53% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.72% ( -0.1) | 75.28% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaga | Draw | Real Oviedo |
| 1-0 @ 14.16% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 36.77% | 0-0 @ 13.64% ( -0.05) 1-1 @ 13.5% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.88% | 0-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.6% Total : 32.34% |
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