Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Sirius win it was 1-2 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
Result | ||
Elfsborg | Draw | Sirius |
57.79% ( -0.55) | 21.84% ( 0.18) | 20.36% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 56.11% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.82% ( -0.3) | 42.17% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.42% ( -0.3) | 64.57% ( 0.3) |
Elfsborg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.65% ( -0.27) | 14.34% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.81% ( -0.53) | 42.19% ( 0.53) |
Sirius Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.5% ( 0.19) | 34.49% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.79% ( 0.21) | 71.2% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Elfsborg | Draw | Sirius |
2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.98% Total : 57.79% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.84% | 1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.05% Total : 20.36% |
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