SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.9%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elversberg | Draw | SC Paderborn |
32.42% ( 1.97) | 22.12% ( 0.56) | 45.46% ( -2.54) |
| Both teams to score 67.37% ( -1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.35% ( -1.82) | 32.65% ( 1.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.68% ( -2.14) | 54.32% ( 2.13) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% ( 0.18) | 20.68% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.72% ( 0.28) | 53.28% ( -0.29) |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.95% ( -1.54) | 15.05% ( 1.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.44% ( -3) | 43.55% ( 3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elversberg | Draw | SC Paderborn |
| 2-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.39) 1-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.49)2-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.4)3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.42% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 5.55% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.24)1-4 @ 2.63% ( -0.33)2-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.24)0-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.22)3-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.12)1-5 @ 1% ( -0.19)Other @ 3.29% Total : 45.46% |
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