SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Paderborn | Draw | Nuremberg |
44.61% ( -0.56) | 23.12% ( 0.14) | 32.27% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 63.48% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.28% ( -0.53) | 37.72% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.04% ( -0.57) | 59.96% ( 0.57) |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% ( -0.43) | 17.35% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.26% ( -0.75) | 47.74% ( 0.75) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.81% ( -0.02) | 23.19% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.92% ( -0.03) | 57.08% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Paderborn | Draw | Nuremberg |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.08% Total : 44.61% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.27% |
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