Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.07%) and 2-0 (5.24%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	SC Paderborn
40.8% ( 0.44)	22.8% ( -0.07)	36.39% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 65.98% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.04% (

0.32)

34.96% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.05% (

0.36)

56.95% (

-0.36)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.23% (

0.32)

17.78% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.52% (

0.55)

48.48% (

-0.55)

SC Paderborn Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.25% (

-0.03)

19.75% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.21% (

-0.05)

51.79% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 40.8%

SC Paderborn 36.39%

Draw 22.8%

Freiburg	Draw	SC Paderborn
2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 40.8%	1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.8%	1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.3% Total : 36.39%