SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.07%) and 2-0 (5.24%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | SC Paderborn |
40.8% ( 0.44) | 22.8% ( -0.07) | 36.39% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 65.98% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.04% ( 0.32) | 34.96% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.05% ( 0.36) | 56.95% ( -0.36) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.23% ( 0.32) | 17.78% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.52% ( 0.55) | 48.48% ( -0.55) |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.25% ( -0.03) | 19.75% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.21% ( -0.05) | 51.79% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | SC Paderborn |
| 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.08% Total : 40.8% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.8% | 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.3% Total : 36.39% |
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