Bologna have thrived playing with a pragmatic but effective approach under Motta, but without Zirkzee in attack, they could struggle to make things happen in the final third.
Empoli have one of the bluntest attacks in Europe's top-five leagues, and coming up against one of the division's strongest defences does not look promising, but a draw would be a hugely satisfying result in their fight against the drop.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bologna in this match.
-0.07) 
0) 
