As Empoli have won only one of their last 17 away fixtures in the league, and two of Bologna's four draws this term were with Calcio heavyweights Juventus and Napoli, the hosts should secure maximum points from Sunday's early kickoff.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
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