SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 16.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Empoli |
63.06% ( -0.08) | 20.51% ( 0.05) | 16.42% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.09% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.46% ( -0.2) | 42.53% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.06% ( -0.2) | 64.94% ( 0.2) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.13% ( -0.08) | 12.86% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.75% ( -0.17) | 39.25% ( 0.17) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.93% ( -0.09) | 39.07% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.21% ( -0.08) | 75.79% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Empoli |
| 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.29% Total : 63.05% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.51% | 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 16.42% |
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