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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 26, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
BL

Empoli
4 - 2
Bologna

Bonifazi (1' og.), Pinamonti (32'), Bajrami (54' pen.), Ricci (90')
Henderson (34'), Pinamonti (67')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Barrow (11'), Arnautovic (77')
Vignato (24'), Orsolini (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 50.01%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawBologna
50.01%23.8%26.18%
Both teams to score 56.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.33%44.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.97%67.03%
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06%17.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24%48.76%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23%30.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97%67.03%
Score Analysis
    Empoli 50.01%
    Bologna 26.18%
    Draw 23.8%
EmpoliDrawBologna
2-1 @ 9.6%
1-0 @ 9.48%
2-0 @ 8.15%
3-1 @ 5.5%
3-0 @ 4.67%
3-2 @ 3.24%
4-1 @ 2.36%
4-0 @ 2.01%
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 50.01%
1-1 @ 11.17%
2-2 @ 5.66%
0-0 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.8%
1-2 @ 6.59%
0-1 @ 6.51%
0-2 @ 3.83%
1-3 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 26.18%

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