Bologna are brilliant at home, while Lecce have been woeful away. Surely the hosts should secure back-to-back wins at the Salentini's expense, helping them keep pace with Italy's top four.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 17.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
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