SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Denmark | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Serbia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 10 | 34 | 30 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 10 | -6 | 17 |
| 4 | Iceland | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 10 | -11 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 10 | -27 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 65.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 14.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for England in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for England.
| Result | ||
| England | Draw | Bosnia-Herzegovina |
65.49% ( -0.04) | 19.79% ( 0.02) | 14.71% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.42% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.3% ( -0.01) | 42.7% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.9% ( -0.01) | 65.1% ( 0.01) |
| England Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.77% ( -0.01) | 12.22% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.08% ( -0.03) | 37.92% ( 0.03) |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.58% ( 0.03) | 41.42% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.07% ( 0.02) | 77.92% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| England | Draw | Bosnia-Herzegovina |
| 2-0 @ 11.18% 1-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.63% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.73% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 3.43% Total : 65.49% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0)Other @ 1.01% Total : 19.79% | 0-1 @ 4.46% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.97% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 1.65% Total : 14.71% |
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