SM
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 9 | 32 | 27 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 9 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 9 | -7 | 14 |
| 4 | Iceland | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 9 | -10 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 9 | -26 | 0 |
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 9 | 32 | 27 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 9 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 9 | -7 | 14 |
| 4 | Iceland | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 9 | -10 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 9 | -26 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovakia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bosnia-Herzegovina | Draw | Slovakia |
29.82% ( -0.04) | 25.74% ( -0.03) | 44.44% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.32% ( 0.1) | 50.68% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.42% ( 0.09) | 72.58% ( -0.08) |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.82% ( 0.02) | 31.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.49% ( 0.03) | 67.51% ( -0.02) |
| Slovakia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( 0.07) | 22.74% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.59% ( 0.1) | 56.41% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina | Draw | Slovakia |
| 1-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.77% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 29.82% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.43% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
