Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Bilino Polje

Bosnia H'vina
0 - 5
Portugal

Hadzikadunic (83'), Kolasinac (88')

FT(HT: 0-5)

Ronaldo (5' pen., 20'), Fernandes (25'), Cancelo (32'), Felix (41')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's European Championship qualifying clash between Bosnia-Herzegovina and Portugal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Portugal could line up in Monday's Euro 2024 qualification clash against Bosnia-Herzegovina.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions

Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-2 Bosnia H'vina
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	7	25	21
2	Slovakia	7	5	13
3	Luxembourg	7	-9	11
4	Bosnia-Herzegovina	7	-2	9
5	Iceland	7	1	7
6	Liechtenstein	7	-20	0

Portugal

All competitions

Last Game: Portugal 3-2 Slovakia
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	7	25	21
2	Slovakia	7	5	13
3	Luxembourg	7	-9	11
4	Bosnia-Herzegovina	7	-2	9
5	Iceland	7	1	7
6	Liechtenstein	7	-20	0

We said: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1-2 Portugal

Portugal are unlikely to be at full-strength for this match, but Martinez has such a talented squad, and the players that come in will be desperate to impress the manager. Bosnia-Herzegovina are capable of picking up a positive result here, but we are backing the visitors to shade Monday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 43.78%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 28.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-2 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 1-0 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
Bosnia-Herzegovina	Draw	Portugal
28.04% ( -0.17)	28.18% ( 0.06)	43.78% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 45.06% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.39% (

-0.27)

60.61% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.3% (

-0.2)

80.7% (

0.2)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.18% (

-0.28)

37.82% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.4% (

-0.28)

74.6% (

0.28)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.47% (

-0.07)

27.53% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.96% (

-0.09)

63.04% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Bosnia-Herzegovina 28.04%

Portugal 43.78%

Draw 28.17%

Bosnia-Herzegovina	Draw	Portugal
1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.67% Total : 28.04%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.17%	0-1 @ 13.43% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 43.78%