SM
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 7 | 25 | 21 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 7 | -9 | 11 |
| 4 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 7 | -2 | 9 |
| 5 | Iceland | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 7 | -20 | 0 |
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 7 | 25 | 21 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 7 | -9 | 11 |
| 4 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 7 | -2 | 9 |
| 5 | Iceland | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 7 | -20 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 43.78%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 28.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-2 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 1-0 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bosnia-Herzegovina | Draw | Portugal |
28.04% ( -0.17) | 28.18% ( 0.06) | 43.78% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 45.06% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.39% ( -0.27) | 60.61% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.3% ( -0.2) | 80.7% ( 0.2) |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.18% ( -0.28) | 37.82% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.4% ( -0.28) | 74.6% ( 0.28) |
| Portugal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% ( -0.07) | 27.53% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.96% ( -0.09) | 63.04% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina | Draw | Portugal |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.67% Total : 28.04% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.17% | 0-1 @ 13.43% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.78% Total : 43.78% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
