Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Erzgebirge Aue win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for SV Sandhausen had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest SV Sandhausen win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Erzgebirge Aue would win this match.
