Espanyol have been able to pick consistent results in the last few matches, but they will need more than a draw to advance into the next round of the competition.
Getafe had a disastrous match against Rayo Vallecano on Tuesday to kick off 2024, but the visitors should have enough to book their place in the last 16 on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 17.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.
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