Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 48.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 25.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.