Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 46.72%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 26.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
46.72% ( 0.48) | 27.02% ( -0.01) | 26.27% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 47.06% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.52% ( -0.25) | 57.48% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.72% ( -0.2) | 78.28% ( 0.2) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.39% ( 0.12) | 24.61% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.89% ( 0.17) | 59.11% ( -0.17) |
Real Zaragoza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.42% ( -0.54) | 37.58% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.64% ( -0.53) | 74.36% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
1-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 46.71% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.69% Total : 26.27% |
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