SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 0-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 2-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Braga |
18.19% ( -0.17) | 20.7% ( -0.05) | 61.1% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 56.15% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.72% ( -0.04) | 40.28% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.34% ( -0.04) | 62.66% ( 0.05) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.35% ( -0.21) | 35.65% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.58% ( -0.22) | 72.42% ( 0.22) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.27% ( 0.05) | 12.73% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.02% ( 0.1) | 38.97% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Braga |
| 2-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 18.19% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.7% | 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.06)0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.83% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.62% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.41% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.58% Total : 61.1% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
