SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 16.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Arouca |
62.96% ( -0.06) | 20.62% ( -0.23) | 16.42% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 52.71% ( 1.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.97% ( 1.58) | 43.03% ( -1.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.57% ( 1.54) | 65.43% ( -1.55) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.95% ( 0.47) | 13.05% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.37% ( 0.96) | 39.62% ( -0.96) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.62% ( 1.33) | 39.37% ( -1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.92% ( 1.21) | 76.07% ( -1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Arouca |
| 2-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.36) 1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.55)2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.19% Total : 62.95% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.37)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.62% | 0-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.08)Other @ 2% Total : 16.42% |
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