SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
30.82% ( -0.05) | 25.73% ( 0.02) | 43.45% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.71% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.79% ( -0.09) | 50.21% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.83% ( -0.08) | 72.17% ( 0.08) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.76% ( -0.08) | 30.24% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.6% ( -0.09) | 66.4% ( 0.09) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.99% ( -0.02) | 23.01% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.19% ( -0.03) | 56.81% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.98% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.82% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 43.45% |
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