SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 63.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 12.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.31%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia |
63.83% ( -0.43) | 23.21% ( 0.06) | 12.96% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 37.44% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.76% ( 0.44) | 59.24% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.35% ( 0.34) | 79.65% ( -0.33) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.76% ( 0.01) | 18.24% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.72% ( 0.01) | 49.28% ( -0.01) |
| Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.8% ( 0.88) | 54.2% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.6% ( 0.53) | 87.4% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 1-0 @ 16.82% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 14.31% ( -0.23)2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 63.82% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.2% | 0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.9% Total : 12.96% |
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