SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 55.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 18.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Instituto |
55.46% ( 0.13) | 25.66% ( -0.18) | 18.87% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 42.52% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.94% ( 0.67) | 59.06% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.48% ( 0.51) | 79.52% ( -0.51) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.61% ( 0.33) | 21.39% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.61% ( 0.5) | 54.39% ( -0.5) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.1% ( 0.46) | 45.9% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.35% ( 0.36) | 81.65% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 15.14% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 6% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.94% Total : 55.45% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.51% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.98% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.55% Total : 18.87% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
