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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16
Sep 28, 2024 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires)
DY

Estudiantes
1 - 0
Defensa

Carrillo (4')
Perez (44'), Kociubinski (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Molinas (44'), Osorio (69'), Ferreira (78')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Estudiantes and Defensa y Justicia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-0 Estudiantes
Tuesday, September 24 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 San Lorenzo
Sunday, September 22 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 47.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Estudiantes in this match.

Result
EstudiantesDrawDefensa y Justicia
47.02% (0.029000000000003 0.03) 27.92% (-0.153 -0.15) 25.06% (0.124 0.12)
Both teams to score 43.71% (0.485 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.72% (0.568 0.57)61.28% (-0.567 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.79% (0.419 0.42)81.21% (-0.419 -0.42)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82% (0.276 0.28)26.18% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.73% (0.37 0.37)61.27% (-0.37 -0.37)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.21% (0.438 0.44)40.79% (-0.438 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.63% (0.39 0.39)77.37% (-0.39 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 47.02%
    Defensa y Justicia 25.06%
    Draw 27.91%
EstudiantesDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 14.31% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.28% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.84% (0.055 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.045 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 47.02%
1-1 @ 12.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.67% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 9.58% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.76% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.29% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 25.06%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-0 Estudiantes
Tuesday, September 24 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Platense
Sunday, September 15 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Talleres 1-0 Estudiantes
Saturday, August 31 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Boca Juniors
Tuesday, August 27 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 2-0 Estudiantes
Sunday, August 18 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 0-2 Independiente
Monday, August 12 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 San Lorenzo
Sunday, September 22 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 Defensa
Tuesday, September 17 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Barracas Central
Saturday, August 31 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Instituto 4-1 Defensa
Saturday, August 24 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Banfield
Tuesday, August 20 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: C. Cordoba 2-0 Defensa
Sunday, August 11 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division


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