SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 62.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Platense had a probability of 13.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.31%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.7%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Platense |
62.64% ( 0.32) | 24.06% ( -0.09) | 13.31% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 36.29% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.66% ( -0.08) | 61.34% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.75% ( -0.06) | 81.25% ( 0.07) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.52% ( 0.09) | 19.48% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.65% ( 0.14) | 51.35% ( -0.14) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.07% ( -0.42) | 54.93% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.16% ( -0.25) | 87.84% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 17.5% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 14.31% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.21% Total : 62.63% | 0-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.04) 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.3% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.83% Total : 13.31% |
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