SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 47.11%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 25.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
47.11% ( -0.33) | 27.54% ( 0.01) | 25.35% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 44.93% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.15% ( 0.19) | 59.85% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.88% ( 0.14) | 80.12% ( -0.14) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.52% ( -0.08) | 25.48% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.68% ( -0.11) | 60.32% ( 0.11) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.29% ( 0.4) | 39.71% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.61% ( 0.37) | 76.39% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 13.83% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 47.11% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.4% Total : 25.35% |
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