SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 48.02%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Platense had a probability of 23.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Platense |
48.02% ( -0.25) | 28.4% ( 0.14) | 23.58% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 41.3% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.32% ( -0.32) | 63.69% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.04% ( -0.23) | 82.96% ( 0.23) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.2% ( -0.28) | 26.8% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.91% ( -0.37) | 62.09% ( 0.37) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.43% ( -0.07) | 43.57% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.23% ( -0.06) | 79.77% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 15.37% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.76% Total : 48.01% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.46% Total : 28.39% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.58% |
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