SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 44.57%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 23.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (7.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.05%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Platense | Draw | Belgrano |
44.57% ( 0.04) | 31.69% ( 0.01) | 23.74% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 34.42% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 27.72% ( -0.05) | 72.28% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.34% ( -0.03) | 88.66% ( 0.03) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.97% ( -0) | 33.03% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.38% ( -0) | 69.62% ( 0) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.39% ( -0.08) | 48.61% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.32% ( -0.06) | 83.68% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Platense | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 17.78% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0)3-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 1.61% Total : 44.56% | 0-0 @ 16.05% ( 0.03) 1-1 @ 12.83% 2-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 31.68% | 0-1 @ 11.58% 1-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.24% Total : 23.74% |
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