SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 48.49%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Platense had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.02%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Platense |
48.49% ( -1.01) | 29.76% ( 0.7) | 21.74% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 36.63% ( -1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.36% ( -1.63) | 68.64% ( 1.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.64% ( -1.08) | 86.36% ( 1.08) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.03% ( -1.32) | 28.97% ( 1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.13% ( -1.66) | 64.86% ( 1.66) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.58% ( -0.65) | 48.42% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.46% ( -0.48) | 83.54% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 17.38% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.33% Total : 48.49% | 0-0 @ 14.02% ( 0.81) 1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.3% Total : 29.75% | 0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.2% Total : 21.74% |
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