SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Eupen win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Standard Liege would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eupen | Draw | Standard Liege |
34% ( 0.98) | 24.36% ( 0.01) | 41.64% ( -0.99) |
| Both teams to score 59.6% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.92% ( 0.23) | 43.07% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.52% ( 0.23) | 65.47% ( -0.23) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% ( 0.68) | 24.74% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.71% ( 0.95) | 59.29% ( -0.95) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.19% ( -0.36) | 20.81% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.52% ( -0.56) | 53.48% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eupen | Draw | Standard Liege |
| 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.73% Total : 34% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 4.64% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.77% Total : 41.64% |
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