Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
-0.05) 
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